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Guide to Patagonia's Monsters & Mysterious beings

I have written a book on this intriguing subject which has just been published.
In this blog I will post excerpts and other interesting texts on this fascinating subject.

Austin Whittall


Showing posts with label america. Show all posts
Showing posts with label america. Show all posts

Friday, January 9, 2026

Japan - America, Paleolithic links?


Continuing with the Japanese-American links during the early peopling of America, this post looks into a paper published last year (Madsen DB, Davis LG, Williams TJ, Izuho M, Iizuka F. Characterizing the American Upper Paleolithic. Sci Adv. 2025 Oct 24;11(43):eady9545. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.ady9545. Epub 2025 Oct 22. PMID: 41124256; PMCID: PMC12542946).


This paper's abstract suggests a link between stone-tool technology in Japan and America, and says that people migrated from Japan via Beringia into America! These people played an important role in the American Upper Paleolithic (AUP).


"In North America, there are enough sites with relatively large tool assemblages predating ~13,500 calibrated years before the present (cal yr B.P.) to allow assessment of the underlying characteristics of their shared lithic tradition. Their shared technological features involve the use of dual core-and-blade and biface technologies similar to those in the Northeast Asian Late Upper Paleolithic. These dual approaches were often merged to produce small projectile points, including stemmed point forms using an elliptical cross-sectional ogive design. Similar dual lithic technologies are found in assemblages in northern Japan dating to ~20,000 cal yr B.P. We suggest a group with a similar lithic technology became isolated somewhere in the vicinity of the Paleo-Sakhalin-Hokkaido-Kuril region, developing genetically into ancestral American populations. Between ~22,000 and ~18,000 cal yr B.P., a subset of this population migrated along the southern Beringian and Northwest coasts into the Americas. By ~16,000 to ~15,000 cal yr B.P., they had become widely dispersed across North America."


maps
Map showing the locations of major physiographic regions discussed in the text (A). Map showing the location of AUP sites in North America discussed in the text (B).. Fig. 1 in Madsen DB, Davis LG, Williams TJ, Izuho M, Iizuka F., (2025)

It mentions an old site, Cactus Hil, in the southern part of Virgina, dated at 18,000 years BP or even earlier! Gault, in Texas, that is between 16.7 and 21.7 ky old.


The authors say that: "Given this wide distribution and the associated age range, we speculate that the initial occupation of lower-latitude North America likely occurred around 20,000 cal yr B.P... Paleogenetics suggest the founding North American AUP populations formed somewhere in Northeast Asia when North-Central Eurasian populations merged with East Asian populations sometime before ~20,000 cal yr B.P." (Note: American Upper Paleolithic is "AUP").


An oceanic voyage


The paper suggests that the Japanese people moved in boats:


"This migration may have taken place over the course of a thousand years or more, lasting 40 to 50 generations and involving a series of movements of people from one place to another relatively nearby location. This wave of advance population movement may easily have used short coastal voyages in waters between off-shore currents and the wave breaker zone and could have enabled such migrants to access coastal refugia, which became differentially available through time. If so, then relatively adverse environmental conditions may not have been an obstacle, especially because migration may have been difficult during any period of the LGM. Alternatively, the migration may have been rapid but also have occurred any time. By ~30,000 cal yr B.P., Upper Paleolithic seafarers were using sea-going vessels to access some of the outer islands in the Japanese archipelago, e.g., and were capable of negotiating the Kuroshio Current, one of the fastest in the world. This suggests that such experienced seafarers may also have been capable of handling adverse Pacific coastal currents. Either way, environmental constraints on the timing of the initial occupation of the Americas may not have been much of a factor... The precise location of the initial AUP population within the larger PSHK region or its margins remains unknown, but the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido is a strong candidate."


A very interesting suggestion indeed! Early peopling, by boat, using the same currents that pushed Japanese junks towards America during historical times.



Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2026 by Austin Whittall © 

Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Amazons, Atlanteans and Cerne. A reference to America in Diodorus' Library


Ancient Navigators Series


Diodorus Siculus (c.80 - 20 BC), in his works (Library Bks 1-7, see 3.54.1 and 2, and 3.56.1 and 3) mentions the city of Cerne, along the Atlantic coast of Africa.


Diodorus was a Greek historian who lived in Sicily, a part of Magna Graecia, the Greek speaking area of Italy, the foot of the boot and Sicily, originally settled by the Greeks around 800 BC, by Diodorus' time it was part of the Roman Republic.


He wrote about the Amazons who lived in Western Africa (Libya) and how, under the leadership of their Queen, Myrina, they invaded the land of the Atlantians, who also seem to have lived in Western Africa. The Amazons razed the Atlantian city of Cerne, killing the men and selling the women as slaves. The Atlantians surrendered.


This use of the name Cerne for a city on the western side of Africa is interesting. Note that Diodorus lived roughly 500 years after Scylax, who first wrote about the discovery of Cerne and 400 years after Hanno who founded a city and named it Cerne!


He also lived 300 years after Plato (c.427 - 347 BC), the famous Greek philosopher, who was taught by Socrates and in turn, was Aristotle's teacher. Plato is the primary (and original) source on Atlantis, the author read by all all those interested in the myth of Atlantis. It is mentioned in his work, in Critias and Timaeus. But Plato does not mention Cerne.


Diodorus on Atlantis


Below is what Diodorus wrote about the Amazons and Atlanteans, which is different from Plato's version:


"§ 3.53.1 We are told, namely, that there was once on the western parts of Libya, on the bounds of the inhabited world, a race which was ruled by women and followed a manner of life unlike that which prevails among us. For it was the custom among them that the women should practise the arts of war and be required to serve in the army for a fixed period, during which time they maintained their virginity; then, when the years of their service in the field had expired, they went in to the men for the procreation of children, but they kept in their hands the administration of the magistracies and of all the affairs of the state. 2. The men, however, like our married women, spent their days about the house, carrying out the orders which were given them by their wives; and they took no part in military campaigns or in office or in the exercise of free citizenship in the affairs of the community by virtue of which they might become presumptuous and rise up against the women. 3. When their children were born the babies were turned over to the men, who brought them up on milk and such cooked foods as were appropriate to the age of the infants; and if it happened that a girl was born, its breasts were seared that they might not develop at the time of maturity; for they thought that the breasts, as they stood out from the body, were no small hindrance in warfare; and in fact it is because they have been deprived of their breasts that they are called by the Greeks Amazons. [("a"- "without" + "mazos" "breast")]
§ 3.54.2 Now the queen of the Amazons, Myrina, collected, it is said, an army of thirty thousand foot-soldiers and three thousand cavalry, since they favoured to an unusual degree the use of cavalry in their wars. 3. For protective devices they used the skins of large snakes, since Libya contains such animals of incredible size, and for offensive weapons, swords and lances; they also used bows and arrows, with which they struck not only when facing the enemy but also when in flight, by shooting backwards at their pursuers with good effect. 4. Upon entering the land of the Atlantians
[sic] they defeated in a pitched battle the inhabitants of the city of Cerne, as it is called, and making their way inside the walls along with the fleeing enemy, they got the city into their hands; and desiring to strike terror into the neighbouring peoples they treated the captives savagely, put to the sword the men from the youth upward, led into slavery the children and women, and razed the city. 5. But when the terrible fate of the inhabitants of Cerne became known among their fellow tribesmen, it is related that the Atlantians, struck with terror, surrendered their cities on terms of capitulation and announced that they would do whatever should be commanded them, and that the queen Myrina, bearing herself honourably towards the Atlantians, both established friendship with them and founded a city to bear her name in place of the city which had been razed; and in it she settled both the captives and any native who so desired. 6. Whereupon the Atlantians presented her with magnificent presents and by public decree voted to her notable honours, and she in return accepted their courtesy and in addition promised that she would show kindness to their nation. 7. And since the natives were often being warred upon by the Gorgons, as they were named, a folk which resided upon their borders, and in general had that people lying in wait to injure them, Myrina, they say, was asked by the Atlantians to invade the land of the afore-mentioned Gorgons. But when the Gorgons drew up their forces to resist them a mighty battle took place in which the Amazons, gaining the upper hand, slew great numbers of their opponents and took no fewer than three thousand prisoners; and since the rest had fled for refuge into a certain wooded region, Myrina undertook to set fire to the timber, being eager to destroy the race utterly, but when she found that she was unable to succeed in her attempt she retired to the borders of her country.
...
§ 3.56.1 But since we have made mention of the Atlantians, we believe that it will not be inappropriate in this place to recount what their myths relate about the genesis of the gods, in view of the fact that it does not differ greatly from the myths of the Greeks. 2. Now the Atlantians, dwelling as they do in the regions on the edge of the ocean and inhabiting a fertile territory, are reputed far to excel their neighbours in reverence towards the gods and the humanity they showed in their dealings with strangers, and the gods, they say, were born among them. And their account, they maintain, is in agreement with that of the most renowned of the Greek poets when he represents Hera as saying:
For I go to see the ends of the bountiful earth,
Oceanus source of the gods and Tethys divine
Their mother.
§ 3.56.3 This is the account given in their myth: Their first king was Uranus, and he gathered the human beings, who dwelt in scattered habitations, within the shelter of a walled city and caused his subjects to cease from their lawless ways and their bestial manner of living, discovering for them the uses of cultivated fruits, how to store them up, and not a few other things which are of benefit to man; and he also subdued the larger part of the inhabited earth, in particular the regions to the west and the north... "


So Diodorus describes the land of the Atlantians as being "on the edge of the ocean" (the Atlantic), he does not describe any cataclysmic destruction of Atlantis like Plato did. He also mentions "regions to the West" being conquered by Uranus "part of the inhabited earth" which can only mean land west of western Africa: America!


amazons fighting Greeks
The Mausoleum at Halicarnassus, The Amazon Frieze c.350 BC. The British Museum

This text mentions land west of Africa, inhabited, and somehow linked to the Ancient civilizations of the Mediterranean. Possibly a story based on facts, like Phoenician or Punic sailors visiting America and returning to Cerne, their base in Western Africa.


To be clear, I do not believe that Plato's story about Atlantis is based on any now lost continent in the Atlantic Ocean, nor do I believe in UFOs, lost civilizations, orichalcum, submerged magic cities, the Bermuda Triangle, etc. That is all a nice story. Fantasy.


Thera - Atlantis - Minoan Civilization


However, Plato may have based his story on ancient events that took place closer to his home in Athens. It could be the memory of the catastrophic destruction of Thera (now the Greek Island of Santorini) in the Aegean sea c.1650 BC, an explosive eruption of its volcano that destroyed the island turning it into several that surround the caldera formed by the collapse of the volcano. Thera's eruption covered Crete with ash, seriously damaging the Minoan civilization with tidal waves and earthquakes. It ruined their economy by burying their farms with ash. The Thera event also affected mainland Greece, leading to the rise of the Mycenaean civilization. This hypothesis was first put forward in 1909 by K. T. Frost, later promoted in several books in the 1960s and 70s. Spyridon Marinatos discovered an ancient Minoan port-city on Thera, Akrotiri at that time, which gave an insight into the Minoan civilization beyond Crete and suggested that this island could have been the famous Atlantis. It seems a reasonable theory. (Read more here, and also here).


Plato and America


Interestingly, in Plato's text about Atlantis, he mentions a "Continent" beyond the Atlantic, perhaps America. My comments are in brackets in the following quote from his work:


" In those far-away days that Ocean [the Atlantic] could be navigated, as there was an island outside the channel which your countrymen tell me you call the ‘pillars of Heracles’. This island was larger than Libya and Asia together, and from it seafarers, in those times, could make their way to the others, and thence to the whole of the opposite continent, Which encircles the true outer Ocean (The waters within the channel just mentioned are manifestly a basm with a narrow entrance [The Mediterranean], what lies beyond it is the real Ocean, and it is the land enclosing that Ocean which should rightly be called a Continent)"



Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2025 by Austin Whittall © 

Saturday, November 8, 2025

Diab - The mysterious Island. Was it part of America?


Ancient Navigators Series


While rereading an old Argentine history book, part of a collection that my dad bought second hand back in the late 1960s, I came across the following text (in the chapter dedicated to the ancient voyages to America prior to Columbus' discovery):


"The map of fra Mauro of the year 1457... holds a mystery regarding Cape Diab, that is, the southern tip of Africa corresponding to the current Cape of Good Hope. There, it depicts a large southern land mass, and in an inscription it says that the strait that divides Cape Diab from that sourthern land it s flanked by tall mountains and thick jungles and the water has dangerous whirpools. There is no such narrows at the Cape of Good Hope. This fact has no other explanation than that of admitting that some unknown navigator who was thrown by the storms to the Strait of Magellan, on his return to Europe, and refer his adventures. As America's existence was not known, the goeographer situated this strait in the only spot in the world where it was possible to imagine it: on the tip of Africa, which had not yet been discovered, and due to this story, it was imagined as separated by a strait from a large southern land mass."

Source: See p. 233 in Historia de la Nación Argentina v.ii, chap.ix, 1939, Enrique de Gandia. Ricardo Levene, General Director.


The map below shows where the landmarks mentioned by de Gandia and this post.

maps of America and Africa
Africa and South America, Diab and other islands. © 2025 A. Whittall

Checking online, I found many interesting sites on fra Mauro's 1457 map, including a zoomable interactive copy of the map. The map, unlike modern ones, has the North on the bottom and the South on the top as you can see below:


fra Mauro 1457 map
Fra Mauro map, (1457), South is top, North, bottom.. Source

Below is a closeup of the Diab area, the text in ancient Venetian Italian in red can be read clearly:


Diab, Fra Mauro map

Fra (from Frater - brother in Latin) Mauro was a Venetian map-maker and monk (c.1400 - 1464) he compiled information from different sources and produced his map of the known world (notice it does not include America or Australia, Oceania or the Antarctic).


Since ancient Venetian Italian is not my forte, I found an online translated version of the map's text in English, but it is not very complete.


The inscription in red ink, upper right ("Circa di ani del signor 1402 una nave...") is translated as follows (I have added some text omitted in this translation):


"About the year of Our Lord 1420 a ship, what is called an Indian junk [çoncho d'India], on a Crossing of the Sea of India towards the Isle of Men and Women, was driven by a storm beyond the Cape of Diab, through the Green Isles [tra le isole verde] , out into the Sea of Darkness on their way west and Southwest, in the direction of Algarve for 40 days. Nothing but air and water was seen for forty days and by their reckoning they ran 2,000 miles and fortune deserted them. When the stress of the weather had subsided they made the return to the said Cavo de Diab in seventy days and drawing near to the shore to supply their wants the sailors saw the egg of a bird called roc, the egg being as big as a seven gallon cask, and the size of the bird is such that from the point of one wing to another was sixty paces and it can quite easily lift an elephant or any other large animal. It does great damage to the inhabitants and is very fast in its flight."


These "Green Isles" therefore seem to be west of Cape Diab (in the Atlantic or "Sea of Darkness"). Algarve is on the southern coast of Portugal. The roc bird with gigantic eggs found upon their return to Africa are surely eggs of the now extinct Elephant Birds of Madagascar, probably the largest birds in the world. They were wiped out after humans reached the island some 500 to 1000 years ago. Madagascar and the Roc is mentioned in "The Travels of Marco Polo" (Chap. XXVI p. 429)


Diab and the "channel"


On the lower side of the Diab "Strait" by a sailing ship is an inscription, that is not translated in the source mentioned further up ("Nota che questo cavo de Diab..."): "Note on this Diab Cape, it is separated from Abassia (Abbysina?) by a channel which is surrounded on one side and another by very high mountains and and trees so large that they protect the dark canal which in its depths creates a dangerous circle so that if a ship were to descend it would be in danger."


This is the text mentioned by de Gandia. But which is this channel, and Diab, the Green Men, the Men and Women isles?


The channel that separates Madagascar from Africa, or Mozambique Channel is over 420 km wide at its narrowest point (260 mi), it is very different to the narrow channel with whripools, dark and concealed by trees described by Fra Mauro.


To the left of Diab, the map shows two islands, Nebila and Magla. Above them is a scroll with an inscription "These two islands are inhabited by Christians, in one of them called Nebila, live the women, in the other called Mangla, live the men who pass only three months a year with the women". They are in the SW of the Indian Ocean east of Port Elizabeth, South Africa.


These islands are found in Marco Polo's Travels (Chap. XXIV p. 423) and they are 30 miles from each other (48 km.) Perhaps the women's Island is a mythical one related to the Amazon female tribe. The word Nebila is Arabic and means "beautiful" - nabilah (Source). The isle of Magla seems to be close to the Maldvies Island (source).


The Atlantic?


On the western or southern tip of Diab's channel is another scroll that reads "Just beyond these off-shore islands, shadows begin to appear, but within this cape they do not hinder navigators." There is a string of islands running along the coast. There are no islands along the eastern coast of South Africa, but if it were South America, these would be the islands along the Pacific coast of Chilean Patagonia, with storms, clouds, squalls and sleet. (possibly the "shadows"). See this timelapsed crossing of the Strait of Magellan.


Fra Mauro repeats the story of the voyagers swept westwards (the text can be seen in the 2 o'clock quadrant above the words "Ethyopia Occidetal" and "Garbi":


"What is more, I have spoken with a person worthy of trust, who says that he sailed in an Indian ship caught in the fury of a tempest for 40 days out in the Sea of India, beyond the Cape of Soffala and the Green Islands towards west-southwest; and according to the astrologers who act as their guides, they advanced 2,000 miles."


He mentions that Eudossus (see my post on Eudoxus) sailed from the Arabian Gulf to Gades around Africa.


Soffala is no other than the old port-city in Mozambique, Africa, on the Indian Ocean (see map). Pieter Derideaux, in his blog states that the Green Islands were known to the Arabs as Zanzibar and Pemba. The Kilwa Chronicle, reported by Barros in the 1550s (online) calls Pemba "the Green Island". Pemba is in Tanzania (see it in Google Maps).


I understand that the "Green Islands" were in the Atlantic, they are reached only after you enter the Atlantic Ocean. There are not many Islands in the South Atlantic: Tristan da Cunha, Ascencion, Saint Helena, and further north, in Guinea, Santo Tome, Falkland-Malvinas, South Georgias).


An article by Marco Vigiano states that "Diab means Gold, Dehab in Arabic, or Swahili" and suggests that it represents the Rift Valley in East Africa, it does not agree with it being identified with Madagascar.


The distance from South Africa to Brazil is 6000 km (3700 mi) and more or less the same to the Falklands-Malvinas Islands, far more than the 3200 km (2000 mi) that the Indian Junk sailed.


Nevertheless, de Gandia's theory of the Strait of Magellan is very interesting, and original.



Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2025 by Austin Whittall © 

Monday, October 27, 2025

Aristotle, Carthaginians and America


Ancient Navigators Series


This post is part of a series on the Ancient Roman and Greek historians and geographers knowledge about America.


In Aristotle's de Mirabilibus Auscultationibus (Latin for: "of marvelous things heard") reported an incredible story:


"84. In the sea outside the Pillars of Heracles they say that a desert island was found by the Carthaginians, having woods of all kinds and navigable rivers, remarkable for all other kinds of fruits, and a few days' voyage away; as the Carthaginians frequented it often owing to its prosperity, and some even lived there,the chief of the Carthaginians announced that they would punish with death any who proposed to sail there, and that they massacred all the inhabitants, that they might not tell the story, and that a crowd might not resort to the island, and get possession of it, and take away the prosperity of the Carthaginians."

(Source)

There is no island beyond Gibraltar (Pillars of Heracles) with "navigable rivers", you would have to cross the Atlantic and reach America to find a river. Not in the Canaries, or Azores, or Madeira, neither in Cabo Verde Islands. Only in America.



For the record, Aristotle (384-322 BC) was a Greek philosopher and polymath, his knowledge spanned many sciences and subjects from history to geography, economics to arts. His works are mostly lost, and have survived as quotes in surviving (yet later) texts. He was a disciple of Plato (the guy who invented or described Atlantis).


The text also mentions another strange land in the Atlantic:


"36 They say that Phoenicians who live in what is called Gades (Cadiz, Spain) , on sailing outside the Pillars of Heracles with an east wind for four days, came at once some desert lands, full of rushes and seaweed, which were not submerged when the tide ebbed, but were covered when the tide was full, upon which were found a quantity of tunny-fish, of incredible size and weight when brought to shore; pickling these and putting them into jars they brought them to Carthage. These alone the Carthaginians do not export, but owing to their value as food they consume them themselves."


Was this spot they reached after sailing for four days in America or along the coast of Africa?


bluefin tuna range map

The map above (source) shows the two distinct populations of bluefin tuna in the Atlantic, they breed separately, but feed together, they migrate from their spawning grounds in the Gulf of Mexico and the Mediterranean, and span the north-central Atlantic. It is possible that fishermen taken by sea currents could have discovered Cabral's "Volta do Mar" route to America.



Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2025 by Austin Whittall © 

Thursday, October 16, 2025

Across the Atlantic - The gateway to South America (Cabral & Americo Vespucio)


The Portuguese worked systematically to open a sailing route to the spices, silk and riches of Asia, bypassing the Middle East, where the local merchants held a tight grip on Oriental goods and made good profit margins. That region had become part of the Ottoman Empire since the 1300s, and finally defeated and conquered the Eastern Roman Empire in 1453 when the Turks took Constantinople, renaming it Istanbul.


The Portuguese had been looking for a route to Asia around Africa and had developed their navigation skills since the early 1400s. They had begun by advancing into the Atlantic, discovering Madeira Island (1419) and the Azores Islands (1427). The Canary Islands were known to the Europeans, and Castille had taken them starting in the early 1400s. The Portuguese made their way along the African Coast, discovering the Cape Verde Islands (1450s), the Gulf of Guinea and Santo Tomé and Principe Islands (1470), and finally Cape of Good Hope (1488) in South Africa, and a route along the Eastern coast of Africa, and the Indian Ocean into India in 1498. Later they would extend their reach into South East Asia, what is now Indonesia and the Philippines, Taiwan, which they named Formosa, and Macao where they established a post, and held onto it until 1999.


The Discovery of Brazil


The official version is the following: An expedition led by Pedro Alvares de Cabral set off for India in the year 1500. Columbus had discovered America 8 years earlier (in 1492). After passing by the Canary Islands on March 14, 1500, they set sail towards Cabo Verde Islands which they reached on March 22. They crossed the Equator on April 9, 1500, and to avoid the Equatorial calms or "doldrums" (an are close to the Equator with lack of wind, or very light winds), they moved away from the African coast. The wind and the east-to-west South Equatorial Sea Current took them across the South Atlantic and on April 22 they saw seaweeds and the next day, they saw a mountain, Monte Pascoal (Easter Mountain) named so because it was discovered on Easter. They had "accidentally" reached the Brazilian coast, which "what a surprise" was also within the Portuguese sphere of influence, as determined by the Treaty of Tordesillas.


The use of oceanic currents to cross the seas was a technique developed by the Portuguese known as "Volta do mar" (around the sea) in the South Atlantic it was a counter clockwise circuit from the Gulf of Guinea westwards to Brazil (South Equatorial Current) south along the Brazilian coast pushed by the Brazilian Current and then to the southeast, towards the southern tip of Africa. They used it on their Portugal to Asia journeys. A similar route was used by sailors in the North Atlantic as there is a current rotating clockwise.


The cunning Portuguese diplomats had secured a Treaty (Tordesillas Treaty) with Castille and Aragon (Spain) in 1493, by which the Pope divided the world into two hemispheres, one would be Portuguese, the other Spanish. The meridian that divided the globe was set (as requested by Portugal) 370 leagues west of the Cabo Verde Islands. This is roughly 1785 km or 1110 mi. wests of these islands, and cuts right through the northeastern tip of Brazil. The Portuguese must have known back in 1493 that Brazil was there, and they wanted to secure their piece of the New World that had just been discovered by Columbus.


The antipodes of this meridian sliced across the eastern side of Papua New Guinea and Australia, and Japan and eastern Siberia. The Pope had excluded all other nations from the discovery and trade with Asia. The Dutch and French were not happy.


The Portuguese may have discovered South America by accident during one of their voyages along the coast of Africa between 1450 and 1490. They then found the currents and winds that allowed them to return to Brazil, and developed the "Volta do Mar" technique. The Spaniards were unaware of Brazil's existence in 1493.


Later, Portugal managed to breakout from the constraints of the 370 leagues and expanded their foothold in Brazil into the fifth largest country in the world, spanning most of South America, a country with a surface area of 8.515.767 km2 - 3,287,956 sq. mi.


I prepared the following map. It showed the sea currents, I added the site of Cabral's landing in 1500, and the Tordesillas Treaty Meridian, with Spain to the West and Portugal to the East.


Tordesillas, Volta do Mar
South Atlantic Gyre, Tordesillas Treaty. A. Whittall, based on Source

Americo Vespucio and Patagonia


Americo Vespucio, the man who gave America his name (and the first person to realize that Columbus had discovered a new continent), navigated across the Atlantic several times, on one occasion with Spanish ships to the Caribbean, and later with the Portuguese.


According to Pohl and Loeb (1), in one of these journeys, in May 1501 he left Portugal, and sailed along the coast of Brazil to the meridian of the Tordesillas Treaty at a spot named Cananea River (modern town of Cananea in the state of Sao Paulo roughly 25°S. See it in Google maps).


Continuing south along the coast in 1501 would mean that they were the first to explore the area, and that they would enter the Spanish sphere of influence. The expedition continued (this is disputed by some scholars) after Gonzalo Coelho the Portuguese commander resigned his post and Americo took over (as a Florentine citizen he was supposedly not affected by the Treaty).


The ships navigated not too close to the shores of South America and supposedly discovered the Rio de la Plata (River Plate) named River Jordan, then along the coast of Patagonia to Porto San Giuliano (very likely San Julián where Magellan wintered in 1519-20). Americo stated they reached 50°S, almost the latitude of the Strait of Magellan. The weather turned sour and the expedition returned to Lisbon persuaded that America was a continent that ran from north to south on the western side of the Atlantic Ocean.


Vespucio wrote that he had sailed to a southern latitude of fifty degrees (source) and this is reasonable since he also stated that they had sailed 600 leagues south of Cabo Frías (close to Rio de Janeiro), this would take them right down to the Strait of Magellan.


For those interested in the Argentine and Patagonian part of Vespucio's journey see this El descubrimiento del río de la Plata y la Patagonia por Vespucio en 1502 - Pruebas y concordancias By Roberto Levillier. Argentina Austral, 1952, Vol. 24 No.256.


Could the Ancient seafaring nations of the Mediterranean have used the same route that Cabral or Vespucio used? The Phoenicians, Carthaginians, and Romans didn't have ships as versatile as those used by the Iberian people like caravels, and lacked the compass and astrolabe used by the Spaniards and Portuguese. However, the Vikings managed to weather the choppy North Atlantic, and the Ancient navigators sailed around Africa, to "Thule" and traded with Britain and Gaul, so why should we have doubts about the navigating skills of the ancient Mediterranean people?


Sources.
(1) Americo Vespucio—Pioneer Celo-Navigator And Geographer. By Frederick J. Pohl and Captain Leonard B. Loeb, U. S. Naval Reserve (Ret.) April 1957 Proceedings Vol. 83/4/650.



Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2025 by Austin Whittall © 

Monday, October 13, 2025

Ancient transatlantic voyagers: Eudoxus


Ancient Navigators Series


In yesterday's post, I mentioned Himilco's journey into the Atlantic from Carthage to NW Europe c.450 BC. Today I will mention a little known expedition undertaken by a Greek explorer and sailor, Eudoxus of Cyzicus


He is mentioned by Strabo (You can read the original text here) and by Pomponius (see this text with the full story). Strabo recounts his voyages to Asia, and from Gades in Spain to India, while Pomponius tells us he sailed the other way, from Egypt to Spain: "left the Arabian Gulf and passed through this sea, as Nepos affirms, he had sailed as far as Gades."


Strabo was a Greek geographer who the Romans knew as Strabon, and who lived between c.63 BS and 24 AD.


Strabo tells us he went from Greece to Egypt c. 170 BC, where he navigated to India under a commission of the pharoh Euergetes II. On a second voyage, sent by the pharoh's widow Cleopatra, he was shipwrecked "above Ethiopia" where he was rescued by the locals and found something that surprised him:


"the end of a prow, with a horse carved on it, which he was told formed part of the wreck of a vessel coming from the west, he took it with him, and proceeded on his homeward course. He arrived safely in Egypt [where] he carried the prow into the market-place, and exhibited it to the pilots, who recognised it as being come from Gades. The merchants [of that place] employing large vessels, but the lesser traders small ships, which they style horses, from the figures of that animal borne on the prow, and in which they go out fishing around Maurusia, as far as the Lixus. Some of the pilots professed to recognise the prow as that of a vessel which had sailed beyond the river Lixus, but had not returned."


Gades was the Roman name for modern Cadiz, a city on the southern tip of Spain's Atlantic coast, very close to the mouth of the Guadalquivir river. Maurusia is modern Mauritania, named by the Romans after the dark-skinned people of berber origin that lived there ('Maurus' in Lain is 'dark-skinned'). Lixus is a town settled by the Phoenicians in the 8th century BC and inhabited until c.1500 AD when the population moved to a fortified neighboring town. It is located by the modern Loukkos River close to Tangier in Morocco.


This convinced Eudoxus that he could set sail from Gades and circumnavigate Africa to reach Asia. So he went to Gades, equipped himself with a large ship and two smaller boats and set sail. The text states that "and launching into open sea, was carried towards India by steady westerly winds." And in a footnote the editor remarked that " Gosselin observes, that this steady westerly wind, so far from carrying him towards India, would be entirely adverse to him in coasting along Africa, and doubling Cape Bojador; and infers from hence that Eudoxus never really went that expedition, and that Strabo himself was ignorant of the true position of Africa.".


But... a westerly wind would have taken him across the Atlantic Ocean towards America!


The story continues: "However, they who accompanied him becoming wearied with the voyage, steered their course towards land..." So, they seem to have returned to Africa. The ship grounded due to navigating close to the coast. They built a smaller one from the shiprwreck, continued their journey met Ethiopian people, but turned around and returned without reaching India. On their way back they "On his voyage back he observed an uninhabited island, well watered and wooded, and carefully noted its position. Having reached Maurusia in safety."


Then he organized his final expedition with two large ships and farming equipment and seeds, to stop on the island and winter on his journey. He was never seen again because the text states that "“Thus far,” says Posidonius, “I have followed the history of Eudoxus. What happened afterwards is probably known to the people of Gades and Iberia;”". Did the westerly winds take him to America? Was the well watered and wooded Island America?


Strabo believes it is false, a fake story and explains all the incongruities in the story concluding that "All this too closely resembles the falsehoods of Pytheas, Euhemerus, and Antiphanes. They however may be pardoned; for their only aim was that of the juggler. But who can forgive a demonstrator and philosopher [Posidonius], and one too striving to be at the head of their order? it is really too bad!"


Pliny the Elder (a Roman scholar, naturalist, historian and geographer who lived between c.24 and 79 AD) also wrote about Eudoxus (see 167) in his accounts of voyages:


"Also when the power of Carthage flourished, Hanno sailed round from Gades to the extremity of Arabia and published a memoir of his voyage, as did Himilco when despatched at the same date to explore the outer coasts of Europe. Moreover we have it on the authority of Cornelius Nepos that a certain contemporary of his named Eudoxus when escaping from King Lathyrus emerged from the Arabian Gulf and sailed right round to Gades; and much before him Caelius Antipater states that he had seen someone who had gone on a trading voyage from Spain to Ethiopia. [170] Nepos also records as to the northern circuit that Quintus Metellus Celer, colleague of Afranius in the consulship {60 BC} but at the time proconsul of Gaul, received from the King of the Suebi a present of some Indians, who on a trade voyage had been carried off their course by storms to Germany."


Pliny states that Eudoxus sailed from Arabia to Gades (the opposite course to the one mentioned by Posidonius!). He mentions the previous voyage from Gades to Ethiopia and then, that in 60BC some Indians arrived on the coasts of Germany (where the Suebi lived). Could these "Indians" have been Amerindians?


The ancient texts provide very little information, but suggest that the ancients sailed and navigated into the Atlantic quite often.



Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2025 by Austin Whittall © 

Sunday, October 6, 2019

Could Denisovans have reached America 130,000 years ago?


The currently accepted dates for the peopling of America are linked to the end of the Last Ice Age. And there are several reasons for this:


1. Accessibility. Humans coming from Asia (and originating in Africa) had to be able to cross the sea in what is now Bering Strait (the area is called "Beringia"), to do so, the sea level had to be lower than it is now, to allow these people to cross a dry stretch of land into America.


This could only happen during a glacial period, when the vast masses of ice that covered both northern and southern continental areas, accumulated an enormous amount of water and therefore lowered sea levels.


2. Opportunity. But this glacial period had to take place after our Homo sapiens ancestors left Africa, and this is believed to have taken place some 100,000 years ago. So these guys had to trek across Asia to reach America and this would take time... after all, no human remains have been found in eastern Siberia earlier than 50,000 years ago (at Tuyana in the Tunka Rift Valley, Siberia).th


So this means they had to reach Bering Strait area sometime after 50 Kya and cross into America before the glaciers melted (some 15,000 years ago).


This means humans crossed Siberia during the cold ice age period, reached Beringia (which was high and dry), and then entered America before the glaciers melted, engulfing the dry plains of Beringia (now under the cold sea of the North Pacific, Bering Strait and south Artic Sea).


However their entry into America required that the gigantic masses of ice that covered Alaska, Canada and the Rocky mountains, to melt to let them into the southern areas of the North American continent (what is now the US).


This took place some 14,000 years ago. Before then they were stuck in Beringia, which was beginning to flood. Of course they could have also boated down the Pacific coast of Alaska and Canada into the US, or even walked along areas now submerged by the sea, which at that time were dry land.


These are the reasons that scientists adopt the last Ice Age as the date for the earliest peopling of America.


However a similar situation took place at the end of the previous Ice Age, a period known as the Eemian (or Sangamonian Stage), which corresponds to Marine Isotope Stage 5e. It also has other names: last interglacial, Valdivia, Riss-Würm,Kaydaky, Milulin, and Kaydaky periods.


The Eemian began as the Penultimate Glacial Period ended 130,000 years ago. It was followed by a warm spell, which would have let any "humans" into America as the melting ice flooded Beringia. It was followed some 115,000 years ago by the next and final Ice Age.


Humans would have had to be present in Siberia and Beringia 130,000 years ago, but according to current orthodoxy, they were still in Africa at that time.


See the map below: in red is the land that is now submerged below the sea, which was dry during the last ice age. In pale blue, lakes that were formed by glacial dams. A similar geography existed 130,000 years ago.


Ice ages sea levels. Discover Magazine.

Could Denisovans or even Neanderthals have crossed into America along the dry Beringian plains?


Or, Homo erectus do the same, during any of the previous glacial periods...


Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2019 by Austin Whittall © 

Monday, August 19, 2019

Australasian signal in the DNA of Amerindians


BBack in 2015 (Skoglund P, Mallick S, Bortolini MC, et al. Genetic evidence for two founding populations of the Americas. Nature. 2015;525(7567):104–108. doi:10.1038/nature14895) an article showed that " show that some Amazonian Native Americans descend partly from a Native American founding population that carried ancestry more closely related to indigenous Australians, New Guineans and Andaman Islanders than to any present-day Eurasians or Native Americans. This signature is not present to the same extent or at all in present-day Northern and Central Americans or a ~12,600 year old Clovis genome, suggesting a more diverse set of founding populations of the Americas than previously accepted.".


This is quite a remarkable discovery, and the authors quickly clarified that "These results do not imply that an unmixed population related anciently to Australasians migrated to the Americas. While this is a formal possibility, an alternative model that we view as plausible is that the 'Population Y' (we use 'Population Y' after Ypykuéra, which means 'ancestor' in the Tupi language family spoken by the Suruí and Kartiana) that contributed Australian related ancestry to Amazonians was already mixed with a lineage related to First Americans at the time it reached Amazonia."


They concluded that "he genetic data allow us to say with confidence that Population Y ancestry arrived south of the ice sheets anciently: the fact that the geographically diverse Andamanese, Australian and New Guinean populations are all similarly related to this source suggests that the population is no longer extant, and the absence of long-range admixture linkage disequilibrium suggests that the population mixture did not occur in the last few thousand years."


Last year another study (Reconstructing the Deep Population History of Central and South America Posth C. et al., (2018) Cell, Vol 175:5 P1185-1197.E22, Nov. 15, 2018) looked into the peopling of America but didn't manage to find this Australasian signal in "ancient remains" that they analyzed:


"failure to find significant evidence of Australasian or Paleolithic East Asian affinities in any of the ancient Central and South American individuals raises the question of what ancient populations could have contributed the Population Y signal in Surui and other Amazonian groups and increases the previously small chance that this signal—despite the strong statistical evidence for it—was a false-positive."


But shortly after another paper was published in Science (Early human dispersals within the Americas, Moreno-Mayar et al., Science 07 Dec 2018: Vol. 362, Issue 6419, eaav2621 DOI: 10.1126/science.aav2621) that sequenced the DNA of ancient remains from all across America, Alaska to Patagonia and found that prior to the main migration into America, there was an earlier one, with Australasian traits:


"... there are genomic and archaeological hints of an earlier human presence. How these early groups are related or structured, particularly those with Australasian ancestry, remains unknown.... [there were] multiple independent, geographically uneven migrations into South America. One such migration provides clues of Late Pleistocene Australasian ancestry in South America, [which] contributed to present-day South American ancestry."


"... we find that the Amazonian Surui share a larger proportion of alleles with Australasian groups (represented by Papuans, Australians and Andaman Islanders), with respect to Mixe. Lagoa Santa yielded similar results to those obtained for the Surui. When compared to Mesoamerican groups (Mixe and Huichol), Lagoa Santa also shares a larger proportion of alleles with Australasian groups but not with other Eurasians."


Remarkably, these first wave individuals with Austronesian genes somehow reached South America without leaving any traces in North America: "[a populaton] that harbored an Australasian signal in the Late Pleistocene and reached South America, yet left no apparent traces in North America".


-- New, Sept. 4, 2019 --


I had originally written:

So the facial reconstruction of "Luzia", one of the 12,500 year-old Lagoa Santa crania (and almost lost in the fire that razed the Rio de Janeiro National Museum -fortunately the skull survived) which originally depicted her with an African look now has her looking more Asian:


One of Luzia's relatives - African look has gone. Source

Luzia before, more "African".

Reader feedback:


D. Parker wrote an e-mail to me with the following text:


your source: http://agencia.fapesp.br/the-new-face-of-luzia-and-the-lagoa-santa-people/29168/. Notice caption ^^^ does not say that that picture is Luzia.
The Brazilian researchers’ contribution to the study was fundamental. Among the 49 individuals from which fossil DNA was taken, seven skeletons dated to between 10,100 and 9,100 years ago came from Lapa do Santo, a rock shelter in Lagoa Santa. A new bust has replaced Luzia in the Brazilian scientific pantheon. Caroline Wilkinson, a forensic anthropologist at Liverpool John Moores University in the UK and a disciple of Neave, has produced a facial reconstruction of one of the individuals exhumed at Lapa do Santo. The reconstruction was based on a retrodeformed digital model of the skull.
Estudos genéticos dão nova cara ao Povo de Luzia Representação do fóssil humano mais fa...
Facial reconstruction of the People of Luzia by Caroline Wilkinson of Liverpool John Moores University in England, based on a retroformed digital skull model of the Lapa do Santo archaeological site. The skull used as a reference is from a young man, cataloged as Burial 26.
Also in regard to the Caroline Wilkinson reconstruction. None of the articles, not the one you sourced said the Caroline Wilkinson reconstruction. looks more Asian. The eye fold is not depicted Asian. None of the features are particularly Asian. The nose is not as flat as many Asians. It's true that the ancestors of Native are believed to be Asian but the reconstruction is intended to depict someone looking Native American and though they have Asian ancestry they dont always look exactly like,Asians. People have said it looks racially ambiguous or could even pass for a dark skinned European or Middle Eastern person, Nevertheless these reconstructions include speculation from the forensic artist
regards,
D. Parker


I thank Mr. Parker for his comments. And I promise to write a specific post on these Brazilian remains (the whole group).


See this post here:Lagoa Santa sites and remains: old and odd

.


My remark on the features of the reconstructed face still stands however. The overall impression of the original bust is that of an African, now it is more Eurasian, it does not look like the typical Amerindian people one sees -today- in South America which have distinct features.


-- end of comment--


So the question remains open: where did this signal come from? And why is it not present in North America or Asia? Below is a map from Skoglund's 2015 paper, and the white circles show this lack of Australasian DNA in those regions, and the red and yellow cicles indicate their presence in South America:




Patagonian Monsters - Cryptozoology, Myths & legends in Patagonia Copyright 2009-2019 by Austin Whittall © 

Thursday, November 13, 2014

On Mutations, mutation rates and Ust'-Ishim


A week ago I read the Supplementary Information on the 45 ky old Ust'-Ishim gene sequencing and also several posts that dealt with this very interesting paper.


I was intrigued by two points: one was their estimation of human mutation rates and the other was the autosomal "diversity" of modern and ancient humans as shown in SI 12. So I decided to write a post on each of those subjects. Today's post looks into the question of "mutation rates", the diversity issue will be the subject of a future post.


Molecular clocks and mutations


It is no secret that I am very skeptical about molecular clocks which tick with a constant rate and therefore allow us to measure the timing of past events such as splits between species or the dates when a given haplogroup appeared. So please read on with this in mind: I don't trust molecular clocks.


The key issues in today's post are:


  1. Mutations in humans take place at different rates. Yes, mtDNA, Y chromosome and autosomal DNA mutate at different rates when compared to each other, and that is ok, and explainable. What I mean by different rates is that when we compare the same kind of genetic material: mtDNA against mtDNA or autosomal DNA against autosomal DNA, in different human samples, the rates are different.
  2. Genetic mutations grow at different paces in men and women.
  3. The DNA of our closest relative, the chimpanzee mutates at a different rate, when compared to ours.
  4. More genetic diversity may not mean "older" populations but simply quicker mutation rates that accumulate in a population of the same age as a less diverse one.
  5. The concept of a molecular clock is unsustainable.

The "molecular clock" that is used to estimate past events in human evolution is based on the simple assumption that: mutations take place in our DNA at a certain fixed pace and that by comparing the quantity of mutations by which specimen A and specimen B differ, we can calculate the time that has elapsed since they shared a common ancestor.


Neat. But what exactly does it mean? and even more important: is it really a clock?


First of all, lets see what a mutation is:


We are all familiar DNA and its role in inheritance. DNA is a polymer that is found inside each and every one of our cells, inside the cellular nucleus. It is shaped like two intertwining coils (a "double helix") and these spirals are stabilized by molecules known as "nucleobases" (or "bases" for short) which link the coils together.


One base is attached to one of the coils and another base is attached to the other coil; and both bond together to form a "base pair".


Fortunately these bases come in four kinds: adenine (abbreviated A), cytosine (C), guanine (G) and thymine (T) and they link up in a very simple manner:


A only bonds with T and C only links up to G. So the "steps" of the ladder that joins the two spiral strands is made up of base pairs such as:


....
AT
TA
CG
CG
AT
GC
TA
....


During replication, the DNA strands within the nucleus of the cell, "unwind", unzipping each strand. The exposed bases attract a new pair and form the other complementary spiral. The "unpaired" Adenine will attract thymine and link to it while the guanine will bond to cytosine and so forth. This bonding takes place on each of the unzipped strands, so from one (1) initial DNA molecule, two (2) "identical" copies are obtained.


Copies and errors, causes


Well, not exactly "identical", there are some sequence errors, and this takes place even though cells have proofreading abilities and mismatch repair mechanisms that compare original and copied DNAs.


These errors in the transcription mean that the "daughter" DNAs are not an exact replica of the "mother" DNA. So maybe an AT is lost or replaced by a GC or a duplicate is inserted so TA becomes TA TA...


In other words these are natural spontaneously occuring mutations.


Other external factors known as "mutagens" can interact with the DNA and alter the nucleotide sequence producing mutations:


  • High Energy Electromagnetic radiation. For instance X-rays or Ultraviolet light (UV).
  • Oxidizing agents (or free-radicals).
  • Chemicals, such as alkylating agents, heavy metals, solvents, monomers, agrochemicals.

These factors can disrupt the sequence of a DNA strand resulting in a "new" (mutated) chunk of genetic information, either due to deletion or addition of base pairs.


There is also a process known as "Recombination" by which two DNA molecules merge in certain sections and produce a totally new variety of DNA.


Where (and when) do mutations take place?


Those terrible summer sun-burns that I suffered as a child back in the 70s, and the accumulated doses of UV radiation that my skin has received over the years, may result in a mutation that causes skin cancer (I keep my fingers crossed and visit my dermatologist once a year just in case).


The same could be said about the X-rays that have zapped me at my dentist or during my medical check-ups or the cosmic rays that incessantly criss-cross my body. Some pesticides that I ingested via fruits or cereals, those glasses of red malbec (and its metabolized by-products) or the cigarrettes that I used to smoke are also packed with mutagens... which disrupt my DNA here and there.


But all of these mutations which are taking place in some of the 40 trillion cells that make up my body would only affect me and therefore would not be passed on to future generations unless they took place in certain cells and, during a specific time frame which differs for men and women.


The new DNA information created by mutations would pass on to my progeny only if it mutated inside my "germ cells" (sperm in my case since I am a man or, for women: their ova).


Mutations that are inherited: Meiosis


Normally our cells reproduce by a process known as "Mitosis", and its outcome are two cells, each carrying the same genetic information that the mother cell had, as well as the same number of chromosomes.


We humans are dipolid organisms and as such, our cells carry two homologous copies of each chromosome, one inherited from our mother, the other from our father. Our cells therefore have 23 pairs of chromosomes of which 22 pairs are autosomes, one pair are the sex chromosomes (the X and Y chromosomes, paired XX in women and XY in men ). The grand total is 46 chromosomes per normal human cell


But our "germ cells" are different, they can only carry half of the genetic information of each parent so that the combination of the father's sperm and the mother's ovum with their chromosomes add up to exactly the full number of chromosomes.


This process of germ cell formation is known as "Meiosis", and it takes place differently in males and females:


  • Females. Meiosis in females is known as "oogonia", and consists of a series of divisions of the "original" oogonium with the complete set of chromosomes, the outcome is an an ovum with half the quantity of chromosomes.
    Meiosis in females takes place during the formation of the embryo (after the fourth week of pregnancy), as soon as the primordial germ cells migrate to the ovary, and they will lie dormant inside a protective follicle until the woman reaches puberty, when her menstrual cycle begins.
  • Males. The process in males is known as "spermatogenesis", and takes place in a continuous manner, after puberty, until death. Meiosis produces spermatozoa in the seminiferous tubes inside the testicles.

Implications


Since male germ cells are produced in a constant manner, the different mutagens that interact with an individual during is whole adult life, (meiosis is a continuous process in men) may cause mutations. Furthermore, males have a very poor DNA repair mechanism, so these mutations are more likely accumulate, without being "fixed", and therefore more likely to get transmitted to their offspring.


The female ova, on the other hand are produced during fetal growth, and are placed in hybernation for many years until the onset of puberty. But despite this long period during which external mutagens could interact with the ova's DNA producing mutations, females have a very efficient repair mechanism for postmeiotic stages which can repair DNA until after fertilization. [3]


This means that sperm accumulate more mutations than ova, and men transmit more mutations to their offspring than women do. This has been corroborated by separate studies both in humans and in chimps:


Chimpanzees, our closest relatives have different mutation rates


Chimps are our closest primate relatives, and a recent paper (Venn et al., 2014) [1] found that "mutation rates and patterns differ between [our] closely related species", Venn reported that male chimpanzees pass on between seven and eight times more mutations to their offspring than do female chimps. This means that roughly 88% of the mutations found in their offspring have a paternal origin and 12% are maternal.


Also, the older the father, the more the mutations in the paternal genes ageing adds "three mutations per year of father's age"[1].


In humans on the other hand "every additional year of father’s age contribut[es] two mutations across the genome and males contribut[e] three to four times as many mutations as females." [1], so males provide between 75 and 80% of the mutations and females 20 - 25%. /p>

This increased mutation contribution by males was reported in a genetic study by Campbell et al., 2012 [7] which found among Hutterite families that 85% of the new mutations were of paternal origin. Which is higher than those mentioned by Venn for humans and very close to those of chimps.


Campbell reported the following figures:


SNV mutation rate: 1.20 × 10-8, (95% confidence interval 0.89 – 1.43 × 10-8) mutations per basepair per generation. And 0.96×10-8 for the most recent generation.


The lower mutation rate for the latest generation was justified by "the relatively young age of the father of the trios analyzed here (21–30 years old at the time of the child’s birth)" [7], meaning that a younger father had accumulated less mutations than an older one.


Calculating Mutation Rate


The mutation rate can be calculated using the following formula:


Mutation Rate = # of mutations observed ⁄ (# of generations x # of base pairs sequenced) [a]


By comparing the discrepancies in the gene sequences of two related individuals separated by a given time span the mutation rate can be calculated (i.e. father - son pairs or comparisons of the DNA between living individuals and that sequenced from his ⁄ her ancestors).


Roach et al., (2010) [8] analyzed the full genome sequence of a family (two children and their parents) and calculated a mutation rate of 1.1 x 10-8 per position per haploid genome.


But what does this mean? Look at it this way: humans have about 6 x 109 base pairs (six billion), so it is very straightforward to work out the number of mutations that will appear in a child, inherited from its parents. They are (see [a] above) directly proportional to the number of bases, the number of generations - in this case = 1 - and the mutation rate. So, using [a] we can calculate:


# of mutations observed = Mutation Rate x # of generations x # of base pairs


So, replacing the terms with actual numbers:


# of mutations = 1.1 x 10-8 x 1 x 6 x 109


# of mutations = 66 (the new mutations in a child, compared to its parents).


Comments


Out of these 66 mutations, roughtly 80% (or 53 are parental, the other 13 maternal). Since paternal mutations grow at a rate of 2 per year [1], we can see that the child of an "old" dad aged 45 would receive 2 x (45-20) = 50 "extra" mutations in its genome in comparison to the child of a "young" 20 year old father.


So the baby of "old" dad would have 66 + 50 = 106 mutations while the baby of the "young" dad would have only 66 mutations.


Looking at a society where older parenting prevails (young males are not successful in mating with the women, or they die off before bearing children, or their children die off before reaching maturity) we would find that mutations would have accumulated at 106 mutations⁄generation. While a society where young males exclude older ones from bearing children, the mutations would accumulate at a rate of 60 mutations⁄generation.


After "n" generations the situation would be:


Old men society: n x 106 mutations. Time span: n x 40.
Mutations per year: n x 106 ⁄ n x 40 = 106⁄40 = 2.65


Young men society: n x 60 mutations. Time span: n x 20.
Mutations per year: n x 60 ⁄ n x 20 = 60⁄20 = 3.00


On a "per generation" basis there are 76.7% more mutations in the "old men" society, but on a "per year" basis, the mutation rate is 13.2% higher in the "young men" society.


This should be a word of caution when using "generations" to gauge ancient events. The conclusions will be very different in one case or the other.


The variability of Mutation Rates


The problem is that the mutaton rates are quite "variable". A paper by Wang, J. et al., (2012) [9], sequenced individual sperm cells in a 40 year-old individual. They obtained mutation rates of 2.0 to 3.8 x 10-8, which, are different from other values measured in other studies:


Hutterites (mentioned above): their "SNV mutation rate [was] 1.20 × 10-8 (95% confidence interval 0.89-1.43 × 10-8) mutations per base pair per generation." [7]


Pedigree. Xue et al., (2009) [6] compared the mutations detected in the Y chromosme of two members of the same family separated by a span of 13 generations. They reported that "The mutation rate is ... 1.0 × 10-9 mutations ⁄ nucleotide ⁄ year (95% CI: 3.0 × 10-10 – 2.5 × 10-9), or 3.0 × 10-8 mutations ⁄ nucleotide ⁄ generation (95% CI: 8.9 × 10-9 – 7.0 × 10-8)" [6] .


Just look at Xue et al.'s enormous Confidence Interval: it is almost one order of magnitude, that is the upper limit is nearly 10 times the value of the lower limit! This is like saying that we estimate the weight of the stone to be 10 pounds, with a CI of 3 lb - 25 lb.


The range between the minimum and maximum values of these studies goes from 0.89 to 7 x 10 -8 mutations ⁄ base pair ⁄ generation. A big window indeed.


Variability between families


Additional proof of the variability of mutation rates comes from a paper (Conrad et al., 2011) [5] which confirms that there is "considerable variation in mutation rates within and between families". The authors compared female and male germline and non-germline de novo mutation rates and found that "in one family [...] 92% of germline DNMs were from the paternal germline, whereas, in contrast, in the other family, 64% of DNMs were from the maternal germline." [5]


Against the constancy of mutation rates


We could imagine that additional research will refine those values and come up with a more reliable rate, but there is another problem: the mutation rate is not constant. It fluctuates accelerating and slowing down over time.


A paper by Amos W., (2013) points out a that "tendency for Africans to have diverged more from chimpanzees than non-Africans is unexpeced under classical theory." [4] Since we all derived from chimps, and have had the same time to accumulate mutations, why do Africans appear more distinct?


Applying the formula [a] it is quite simple to see that if the number of mutations is higher for Africans, then either the number of generations and ⁄ or the mutation rate must be higher for them than among non-Africans. Amos finds no reason to imagine a shorter generation time in Africa (shorter duration means more generations in a given time span). Clearly something is influencing the mutation rates in Africa.


So for Amos, this implies that the anomaly may be due to two reasons "local effects that vary across the genome due, for example, to natural selection, and genome-wide effects arising from a mutator allele impacting mutation rate or demographic influences that alter generation time." [4], the paper suggests that the mechanism that is acting to distort mutation rates is known as the "heterozygote instability" (HI) hypothesis.


Under the HI hypothesis:


mutation rate increases at and near heterozygous sites where the two homologous chromosomes differ in sequence [...] [4]


This means that "gene conversion events focused on heterozygous sites during meiosis locally increase the mutation rate [and] As humans left Africa they lost variability, which, if HI operates, should have reduced the mutation rate in non-Africans. [4]


In other words, the bottle necks that decimated humans (and also their Neanderthal and Denisovan) predecessors as they moved out of Africa and across Eurasia, led to reduced diversity and this in turn decelerated their mutation rate in comparison to those that remained in the African homeland whose diversity remained higher.


"Under the HI hypothesis, this demographically-induced reduction in heterozygosity should create a parallel reduction in mutation rate such that Africans have diverged more than non-Africans from their common ancestor" [4]


I will go over this in detail in my next post on "African diversity vs. non-African lack of diversity", but focusing on this post's subject, how does this impact on mutation rates?


Simple: mutation rate grow with increasing heterozygosity. Also "When population size is constant, smaller populations will experience lower mutation rates than related larger populations" [4].


Summary on mutation rates


DNA mutates at different rates:


  • In male or female germ cells
  • In different families
  • In less diverse populations vs highly heterozygous populations (HI hypothesis)
  • In chimpanzees (vs. humans)
  • In older men's sperm vs. younger men's sperm
  • In large populations vs. small populations

And as we will see below, ancestral DNA (obtained from the remains of ancient humans) show different rates when compared to the pedigree rates calculated by using sequences of recent modern families.


Ust'-Ishim and its estimates on mutation rates


And now, we get to the paper on the Ust'-Ishim remains (Fu, et al., 2014) [2]. Besides a wealth of data on admixture and mtDNA & Y chromosome haplogroups also deals with mutation rates, and reaches some very interesting conclusions (Below I will refer to the Supplementary Information freely available online):


Autosomal Mutation Rates Estimates


The paper measured how many mutations are "missing" in this 45 ky old individual when compared to contemporary humans. The logic behind this calculation is that we kept on evolving during that period of time and accumulated new mutations (see SI 15). Since the bone was carbon dated (41,410 ± 960 BP or 45,000 cal BP) and the substitutions can be measured, the calculation was relatively simple.


As expected, the DNA of Ust'-Ishim is around 0.6% shorter than the A-Panel (a low-coverage of 24 - 32%) modern humans and 0.35% for B-Panel samples (with a higher coverage of 35 -42%). So the autosomal mutation rates are: "0.80-0.91 × 10-9 ⁄ bp ⁄year for panel-A and 0.44-0.63 × 10-9 ⁄ bp ⁄ year for the B-panel." [2]


The authors therefore "estimate a nuclear mutation rate of 0.44 -0.63 × 10-9 ⁄ site ⁄ year, which is lower than the value that has been widely used in the past (1 × 10-9)." they do point out that the "lower quality A-panel individuals give significantly different results, indicating that this measure is sensitive to quality differences between the compared genomes" [2]


Indeed "different", the values differ by a factor of 2! Notice that they are also giving their figures in mutations per site per Year, further up, the figures we mentioned were "per Generation". Conversion from one to other depends on the time span assigned to a Generation which can range from 19 to 40 years!


Comparing Ust'-Ishim (ancestral) and Xue's pedigree values [4] there is a two-fold spread between the minimum and maximum values.


  • 0.44 - 0.63 x 10-9 ⁄ bp ⁄ year (Ust'-Ishim)
  • 0.30 - 2.50 x 10-9 ⁄ bp ⁄ year (Xue's data)

Mitochondrial DMA mutation rates


Using the mtDNA (SI 8), Fu et al., (which by the way, the mtDNA "appears to be most closely related to the direct R sub-clades R* (P, B, F, T, J)" [2]), they also estimate a mutation rate of "2.53 × 10-8 substitutions per site per year (95% HPD: 1.76 -3.23 × 10-8) for the complete mtDNA" [2]. Notice that it differs from the autosomal mutation rate calculated above by a factor of about 50 corroborating that mtDNA mutates rapidly.


Y-chromosome mutation rate


The team also sequenced Ust'-Ishim's Y chromosome and found that it "clusters with the K(xLT) haplogroup." [2], they estimated its mutation rate as "0.76 × 10-9 substitutions per site per year (95% HPD: 0.67-0.86 × 10-9)". Which was higher than the rate reported in the controversial paper by Mendez et al. (2013) which discovered a new Y chromosome lineage (A00) with a Most Recent Common Ancestor (TMRCA) of 338 ky, far older than the oldest anatomically modern human fossils.


Table S9.1, shows that the (TMRCA) for all Y-Chromosomes as 153 ky old (range: 132-175 ky).[2], since the mutation rate used is higher, the TMRCA is much more recent than the figure calculated by Mendez (153 ky vs. 338 ky).


A novel calculation of the mutation rate


Fu et al., devised a new method of calculating the mutation rate "assuming the population size history of the ancient sample is identical to that of present humans prior to the death of the archaic individual" [2] , and estimated a muation rate of 0.43×10-9 per site per year, with a 95% CI (0.38×10-9 - 0.49×10-9).


This value coincides with their estimate based on another method and is much lower than other previous values. The fact that the mutation rate is lower and therefore slower means that more time is necessary to accumulate the mutations that we carry, in other words it suggests an older date for the split between modern and ancient humans.


Another recent paper on Mutation Rates


A few days after Fu's paper, another one (Rieux et al., 2014) [10] was published, it reported an improved calibration of the mtDNA clock, and calculated a TMRC for modern humans as 143 ky (95% CI 112 - 180 ky), which agrees pretty well with Fu's estimate.


They ratified the "acceleration of substitution rates in recent times" (for mtDNA mutation rates) which is explained by the " 'time-dependency of molecular rates' hypothesis, which postulates an acceleration over recent times in coding sequences due to the time needed for selection to purge slightly deleterious mutations" [10].


They used two types of estimations, one based on the dates of the fossil remains of ancient humans (tip-based-estimates) and another calibrated on nodes, which mark peopling events such as the peopling of America, New Zealand, Madagascar, etc. They noticed that:


tip-based rate estimates are slower (by a factor of 0.63-fold) than the ones obtained using internal node calibration by Endicott and Ho (2008) but are faster (by a factor of ~1.5-fold) than previous fossil-calibrated rates
[...]
the variance over individually calibrated substitution rates is 11 times smaller for tips than internal nodes. Moreover, all of the 21 substitution rates estimated from aAMH sequences had overlapping 95% HPD (fig. 3). The situation is strikingly different for node-based calibrations, where substitution rate estimates strongly depended on the demographic episode used for dating, with only four out of ten individually calibrated rates having overlapping HPDs.
These results strongly suggest that tip calibration estimates are far more consistent than internal node-based ones. However, tip-based calibration also point to slower mean substitution rates than those based on internal nodes. Thus, one important question we need to answer is whether tipbased calibrations are affected by some systematic bias that might lead to slow (and homogeneous) substitution rates. [10]


In other words, the "nodes" or estimated dates of demographic events have a larger variance than those of the "tips" (reliably dated fossil remains). The 95% HPD interval obtained for each independent ancient sequence overlapped the others while the "nodes" only overlapped in 40% of the cases. (See their Fig. 3). The ancient remains are therefore more reliable than the estimated dates for peopling events! (something I have written about several times suggesting an ancient peopling of America). Additionally the fossils indicate a slower mutation rate meaning a more ancient date for all events (African - non-African split, Sapiens - Neanderthal split, etc.).


Rieux et al. recognize that carbon dated remains are much more reliable than the estimations of dates regarding peopling events (allow me to quote them extensively) :


the uncertainty around dated nodes is far more complex and multifactorial and is likely to lead to different degrees of reliability associated to each node. First, there is generally considerable uncertainty associated with the age of the colonization⁄migration event including error in the dating of the archaeological, anthropological, and historical evidence. The age of the oldest evidence for human presence is unlikely to coincide exactly with the demographic expansion. Very generally, we would predict to see a delay in the appearance of traces of human presence after the expansion of AMHs into any new area (Signor and Lipps 1982).
[...]
Second, even if a demographic event had been accurately dated, the age of the node in the phylogenetic tree might not coincide with it for a number of reasons (Edwards and Beerli 2000; Ho and Phillips 2009; Balloux 2010; Firth et al. 2010; Crandall et al. 2012). For instance, the phylogenetic node of interest may correspond to the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of the sampled sequences rather than the split of the population of interest.
[...]
the population might have experienced a reduction in size later on, so that the TMRCA could coincide with this subsequent population bottleneck. We could think of additional scenarios and the situation would become even more complex if we considered a possible effect of natural selection. To summarize, node calibration can be affected bymany sources of error, and it is thus nearly impossible to model the age uncertainty around nodes satisfyingly. [10]


In other words, the nodes will give "later" dates for cases like America, subjected to a drastic bottleneck. Even so, I am quite happy to see the dates that they estimated using ancient genomes gave a much older date for the peopling of America than the usual "orthodox" 13 - 17 ky:


time peopling America
Table 2 in [10]. Coalescence Times for Major Haplogroups Involved in the Colonization/Migration Events Considered.

Yet the authors are aware of their "early" dating and try to explain the "discrepancy" to conform to orthodoxy: "However, in the case of the Canary Islands, Remote Oceania, New Zealand, and the Americas, the estimated coalescence times were systematically older than the archaeological evidence. Potential explanations for such discrepancies include ancestral polymorphism in the founding population or complex demographic histories involving multiples wavesof colonists" [10].


Finally their dating of the Divergence between Humans and Chimpanzees was 4.14 Ma (95% HPD 2.991 - 5.448). Which they admit "... may appear too young when compared with the dates that are generally derived from the fossil record." [10] . The authors attempt to explain this "recent" date as due to (i.e. "...more complex speciation scenarios where an initial split was followed by an extended period of gene flow before the final separation..."). But I do not think that it is due to a flaw in their method, but to the dissimilar mutation rates of humans and chimps, as pointed out by Venn et al., in June 2014, [1]:


Under a model in which the mutation rate increases linearly with parental age, the rate of neutral substitution is the ratio of the average number of mutations inherited per generation to the average parental age. We predict the neutral substitution rate to be ~0.46 × 10-9 per base pair (bp) per year in chimpanzees, compared to estimates in humans of ~0.51 × 10-9 bp-1 year-1 (9). These results are consistent with near-identical levels of lineage-specific sequence divergence (12) but surprising given the differences in paternal age effect. In the intersection of the autosomal genome accessible in this study and regions where human and chimpanzee genomes can be aligned with high confidence, the rate is slightly lower (0.45 × 10-9 bp-1 year-1) and the level of divergence is 1.2% (13), implying an average time to the most common ancestor of 13 million years, assuming uniformity of the mutation rate over this time (95% ETPI 11 to 17 million years; table S11). [1]


This is in agreement with the estimate of Langergraber et al., (2012) who dated the Pan-Homo divergence to between 6.78 and 13.45 Ma.


An earlier human-chimp split renders useless the calculations that calibrate molecular clocks based on that event. If it took place 13 Ma instead of 6, the clock's ticking rate has to be adjusted and all events derived from such a clock would actually be much older than currently accepted. Including the peopling of America.


More to follow, on the differing diversity of humans Africans and non-Africans


Sources
[1] Oliver Venn, et al., (2014). Strong male bias drives germline mutation in chimpanzees. Science 13 June 2014: Vol. 344 no. 6189 pp. 1272-1275 DOI: 10.1126/science.344.6189.1272
[2] Fu, Q. and many others. (2014). Genome sequence of a 45,000-year-old modern human from western Siberia. Nature, 514, 445-450. doi:10.1038/nature13810
[3] Andrew J. Wyrobek et al., (2007) Assessing Human Germ-Cell Mutagenesis in the Postgenome Era: A Celebration of the Legacy of William Lawson (Bill) Russell. Environ Mol Mutagen. Mar 2007; 48(2): 71–95. doi: 10.1002/em.20284
[4] William Amos, (2013) Variation in Heterozygosity Predicts Variation in Human Substitution Rates between Populations, Individuals and Genomic Regions. April 30, 2013DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0063048
[5] Donald F Conrad, et al., (2011). Variation in genome-wide mutation rates within and between human families. Nature Genetics 43, 712–714 (2011) doi:10.1038/ng.862. Published online 12 June 2011
[6] Yali Xue et al., (2009). Human Y Chromosome Base-Substitution Mutation Rate Measured by Direct Sequencing in a Deep-Rooting Pedigree. Curr Biol. Sep 15, 2009; 19(17): 1453–1457. doi: 10.1016/j.cub.2009.07.032
[7] Catarina D Campbell, et al., (2012). Estimating the human mutation rate using autozygosity in a founder population. Nature Genetics 44, 1277–1281 (2012) doi:10.1038/ng.2418
[8] Roach JC, (2010). Analysis of genetic inheritance in a family quartet by whole-genome sequencing. Science. 2010 Apr 30;328(5978):636-9. doi: 10.1126/science.1186802. Epub 2010 Mar 10
[9] Wang J, Fan HC, Behr B, Quake SR, (2012). Genome-wide single-cell analysis of recombination activity and de novo mutation rates in human sperm. Cell. 2012 Jul 20;150(2):402-12. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2012.06.030
[10] Adrien Rieux, et al., (2014). Improved Calibration of the Human Mitochondrial Clock Using Ancient Genomes. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 2014, 2780-2792, DOI: 10.1093/molbev/msu222


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